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Super Rugby: Force can add to Rebels’ woes

Western Force will be determined to keep up their strong recent record against the Rebels when the two side’s clash in one of Super Rugby’s Friday night games.

Winning just one of their last seven games, the Rebels have had a tough time of late and the Force will be eager to add to the hosts’ woes at AAMI Park. 

Rebels desperate to stop the rot

WhatRebels v Western Force
WhereAAMI Park, Melbourne
When19:35, Friday 26th May 2023
How to watchStan Sport
OddsRebels 1.40, Western Force 3.00

Heading into Friday night’s clash on the back of three successive defeats, the Rebels find themselves down in 11th place in the standings, with only winless Moana Pasifika below them. 

Head coach Kevin Foote will be trying to build on the positives from his side’s last outing as they went down 20-17 at the Highlanders. 

A late penalty for the hosts denied the Rebels an important win but there is cause for optimism in the Melbourne camp, and this is why they are the 1.40 favourites going into their clash with the Force. 

Each of the Rebels’ last four matches against Australian teams at AAMI Park have been decided by margins of no more than seven points. 

With that under consideration, the Rebels to win with a -6.5 Handicap is available at 1.91

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Force have form in this fixture 

Winning three of the last four meetings between these sides, Western Force should have confidence going into this contest in Melbourne. 

The Force have won the last two encounters and only conceded 18 points across those two games against the Rebels. 

Western Force’s main issue this season has been their form on the road and that’s why they are the underdogs at 3.00 to win at AAMI Park this week. 

Winning just one of their last 10 games away from their home at HBF Park, a comprehensive victory over Moana Pasifika in May last year, the Force need to change their fortunes on the road. 

This game might well be their best opportunity to pick up a valuable win away from home, against a Rebels side that have had real problems in defence this season. 

Conceding 437 points in their first 12 outings of the Super Rugby campaign, the Rebels are conceding an average of 36.4 points per game. 

That makes it hard to win any rugby match, and while the Rebels have been exciting in attack, scoring more points than the eighth-placed Force, their defence could once again be Melbourne’s undoing on Friday night. 

If the Force are to stand any chance of making the playoffs this season, they need to start winning games on the road, and AAMI Park could be the location for a much-needed away victory.

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