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NRL Grand Final Winning Region Outright Odds: NSW the dominant force

New South Wales have dominated the NRL in recent years and could take some stopping once again in the 2025 season.

It is no surprise really considering over half the teams in the competition, 10 to be precise, are from New South Wales.

Indeed since 2010, there have only been four occasions when the grand final winner has not been from New South Wales.

Victorian outfit Melbourne Storm have won it on three occasions, with the Cowboys doing the business for Queensland back in 2015.

With the season fast approaching, let’s take a look at the grand final winning region outright odds.

NRL 2025 Outright

Grand Final Winning Region outright odds

New South Wales - 1.75
Any Other -
3.50
Queensland -
5.00

New South Wales - 1.75

Penrith Panthers have completely dominated the NRL, winning the premiership in each of the last four seasons.

They will be out to make it number five in 2025 and it would take a brave man to back against them.

Ivan Cleary’s side are 4.33 to win the grand final, but take them out of the equation and New South Wales may not have a serious contender.

Cronulla Sharks, who are usually there or thereabouts but who have struggled in finals and are next in the betting at 13.00.

Sydney Roosters, who went back-to-back in 2018 and 2019, are currently priced at 17.00.

The Roosters along with Canterbury Bulldogs, Manly Sea Eagles and South Sydney Rabbitohs could be in the mix, but it would be a surprise if one of them went all the way.

So, New South Wales still have weight in numbers, but it looks as though the state will be relying on Penrith to get the job done once again.

Any Other - 3.50

Melbourne Storm have been the team to break New South Wales’ dominance at times, bringing home the bacon for Victoria.

They made the grand final in 2024, only to be edged out by the Panthers once again.

If anyone is to stop Penrith and New South Wales in 2025, the Storm look the team most likely to do it.

Indeed, Craig Bellamy’s side are the hot fancies at 3.75 to go on and win the 2025 grand final.

Elsewhere in the ‘Any Other’ section, it is highly unlikely that either the Canberra Raiders from the ACT, or New Zealand Warriors will challenge at the top.

Queensland - 5.00

You have to go back to 2015 to find Queensland’s last premiership and they will be desperate to snap the drought in 2025.

North Queensland Cowboys won it in 2015 and are priced at 21.00 to repeat the magic a decade later.

The Dolphins and Gold Coast Titans are not expected to challenge this season, so it could be down to the Brisbane Broncos to try and deliver.

The Broncos lost the 2023 grand final to Penrith and, following a disastrous 2024, will be looking to bounce back.

With new head coach Michael Maguire in charge, they are priced at 8.00 to go all the way and win the grand final.

Any odds displayed were correct at the time of writing and are subject to fluctuation.

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