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Australian Open Men's Outright Odds

The 2024 Australian Open gets an all-new Sunday start, but the field for the men's singles is headed by a very familiar face, record ten-time champion Novak Djokovic.

Djokovic has won four of the last five stagings of the Melbourne Grand Slam and is showing no signs of slowing up at the age of 36, having won three of the four majors in 2023 and losing in the final of the other, Wimbledon.

Not surprisingly he is the 2.10 hot fancy to triumph again at Melbourne Park, with his SW19 conqueror, Carlos Alcaraz, his closest challenger in the pre-tournament outright market at 4.33.

Rafael Nadal had hoped to return to Grand Slam action in Melbourne, but he has been forced to miss out due to a fresh hip problem.

What2024 Australian Open
WhereMelbourne Park, Melbourne, Australia
WhenSunday 14th - Saturday 28th January 2024
How to watchNine Network, Stan Sport
OddsNovak Djokovic 2.10, Carlos Alcaraz 4.33, Jannik Sinner 7.50, Daniil Medvedev 10.00

Novak Djokovic

Current Outright odds - 2.10

Novak Djokovic is quite simply the master of Melbourne, with his ten triumphs four more than the next best man - both Roger Federer and Roy Emerson having claimed the title on six occasions.

In fact, the Serb has not lost at Melbourne Park since a straight-sets fourth-round loss to Chung Hyeon back in 2018, with Djokovic having been forced to miss the tournament in 2022.

That record means he is the standout leader of the outright market heading into the first Grand Slam of 2024, having proved his quality by claiming a record-setting seventh ATP Finals crown in Turin, beating home favourite Jannik Sinner 6-3 6-3 in the final.

Djokovic’s Grand Slam total currently stands at 24 and he is available at 2.75 to add another two titles to his record-breaking tally in 2024.

The only recent negative for the Serb maestro was the fact that he struggled with a sore wrist while in action for his country at the United Cup.

Carlos Alcaraz

Current Outright odds - 4.33

Spaniard Carlos Alcaraz sprang to prominence by winning the US Open in 2022 and he backed that up with success at Wimbledon last summer, outlasting Djokovic 1-6 7-6 6-1 3-6 6-4 in the final to inflict the only Grand Slam defeat of 2023 on the world number one.

The 20-year-old was forced to miss the Australian Open last year due to a leg injury, but recovered to make the semi-finals of both the French and US Opens, as well as taking ultimate glory on the grass of SW19.

Djokovic ended his hopes of a title on the clay in Paris, while his Flushing Meadows title defence was derailed by Daniil Medvedev and the all-action Spaniard finished the 2023 season with poor results in both Shanghai and Paris.

He was then taken apart by Djokovic in the semi-finals of the ATP Finals and Alcaraz will have to summon up the spirit of Wimbledon if he is to dethrone Djokovic in Melbourne.

Jannik Sinner

Current Outright odds - 7.50

Italian Jannik Sinner is being almost universally hailed as a future Grand Slam champion and there is no reason to doubt that he can launch a major bid for glory at Melbourne Park.

The 22-year-old reached the semi-finals of Wimbledon last summer, before falling to Djokovic, having previously reached four Grand Slam quarter-finals.

However, it is his end to the 2023 season which gives optimism that the time for Sinner to go all the way is not too far away.

First, he inspired Italy to Davis Cup glory, taking out Djokovic in both singles and doubles in a semi-final victory over Serbia.

He then defeated the world number one in the group stages of the ATP Finals, only for Djokovic to gain revenge in the final in Turin.

Those victories over Djokovic should give Sinner the confidence and belief needed to be a genuine contender for the title in Melbourne.

Daniil Medvedev

Current Outright odds - 10.00

Daniil Medvedev is a five-time Grand Slam finalist, with his lone success from those matches coming at the 2021 US Open, when he pummelled Djokovic into submission in three straight sets.

His four final losses have come at the hands of either Djokovic or Rafael Nadal, with two of those coming at Melbourne, so the Russian has to be seen as a major contender.

Having reached the final of the Australian Open in both 2021 and 2022, he crashed out in the third round in 2023, losing in three sets to American Sebastian Korda.

He recovered to make the semi-finals at Wimbledon and the final of the US Open, where Djokovic ruined his hopes of a second Grand Slam title.

At 27 there is plenty more left in the tank for Medvedev, but he has lost five of his last six meetings with Djokovic.

Best of the rest

Holger Rune
Current Outright odds - 23.00

Dane Holger Rune comes next in the outright market, with the 20-year-old rising star having reached two Grand Slam quarter-finals last year.

He recently made the final of the Brisbane International, where he was beaten by a resurgent Grigor Dimitrov, having ended 2023 by pushing both Djokovic and Sinner to three sets at the ATP Finals in Turin.

Alex Zverev
Current Outright odds - 26.00

Germany's Alex Zverev is, like Dimitrov, enjoying something of a resurgence in fortunes, having recently played a starring role as Germany won the United Cup, beating Poland in the final.

The 26-year-old certainly has the pedigree to be a contender, having won the ATP Finals twice and also being the reigning Olympic singles champion.

A Grand Slam title has frustratingly eluded him to date, with his lone final appearance seeing him unable to finish the job against Dominic Thiem in the 2020 US Open final, losing after being two sets up on the Austrian.

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