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Jannik Sinner v Alexander Zverev: Australian Open final preview

Reigning champion Jannik Sinner needs one more victory to successfully retain his Australian Open title, but Alexander Zverev will be hoping to spring a shock and claim his first-ever Grand Slam title.

Sinner claimed both the Australian and US Open titles last year as he rose to the very top of the game and has continued to impress in reaching a second successive Melbourne final.

Zverev, beaten in the 2020 US Open final and the 2024 French Open final, has been just as impressive, beating Tommy Paul in four sets in the quarter-finals, before Novak Djokovic’s retirement after one set ensured another major final appearance.

Jannik Sinner v Alexander Zverev

Jannik Sinner v Alexander Zverev odds

Jannik Sinner

Alexander Zverev

Match winner

1.36

3.25

Set betting 3-0

3.25

11.00

Set betting 3-1

3.60

8.00

Set betting 3-2

5.00

7.50

Sinner set up nicely to repeat

Defending champion Sinner started slowly in the tournament, dropping a set in his second-round win over Australian wildcard Tristan Schoolkate and doing likewise against Holger Rune in the fourth round.

However, after shaking off an apparent illness, Sinner put his foot down in despatching Alex de Minaur and Ben Shelton in the quarter and semi-finals respectively without the concession of another set.

Shelton pushed Sinner all the way in a first-set tiebreak, before the world number one eased away to get the job done without too much fuss, and another first-set breaker against Zverev is priced at 6.00.

Those performances and Sinner’s dominance at hardcourt majors in the last 12 months make it no surprise that he is 1.36 to triumph for a second successive year at Melbourne Park.

His 2024 US Open title came with a straight sets win over Taylor Fritz, but 12 months ago he had to fight back from two sets down to wrest the Australian Open title away from Daniil Medvedev.

Sinner has proved that he can do it both the easy and hard way and maybe an in between performance against Zverev is on the cards, with the Italian 3.60 to win in four sets.

However, a cautionary stat is that these two players have met on six previous occasions and Zverev holds a 4-2 advantage in their head-to-head record, including wins in both of their matches at a hardcourt Grand Slam.

Zverev is a man on a mission

Having played in and lost two Grand Slam finals, Zverev has emerged from a tricky time to work his way back up to second in the world rankings and has a chance to add a major title to his already impressive CV.

The German has come so close to landing a Grand Slam without doing so, losing to Dominic Thiem in the 2020 US Open final after being two sets to the good, while leading Carlos Alcaraz 2-1 before going down in five sets at the French Open last year.

Those losses leave a question of just how Zverev will cope under pressure against Sinner, but his career revival gives indicators that he may be ready to take that final step, even if he is the 3.25 outsider to triumph in Melbourne.

As mentioned above Zverev can certainly take confidence from having twice seen off Sinner at the US Open, doing so in straight sets in 2021 and four sets two years later.

The only meeting of these two players in 2024 was a tight affair, with Sinner prevailing in a third-set tiebreak in the semi-finals of the Cincinnati Masters, with the Italian 5.00 to win in five sets in Melbourne, while Zverev is 7.50 in the same market.

One area where the German can look to dominate is on serve, with Zverev racking up 67 tournament aces to Sinner's 53 and he is 1.50 to serve the most aces in this match.

Gaining some easy holds against the reigning champion could well be key to Zverev ending his wait for a Grand Slam crown.

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This article was written by a partner sports writer via Spotlight Sports Group. All odds displayed on this page were correct at the time of writing and are subject to withdrawal or change at any time.

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